Navigating Risk: Comparing US State Department Advisories for the Bahamas and Jamaica with Crime Rates in Major US Cities

Show Some Love, Share This Post!

Facebook
X
Pinterest

As an avid traveler, I’ve always believed in the transformative power of exploring new places and experiencing diverse cultures. However, staying informed about travel advisories is an essential part of being a responsible and safe traveler. Recently, the U.S. State Department issued updated advisories for the Bahamas and Jamaica, prompting me to delve into the changes and understand how they compare to the information available in 2023. To add more context to these updates, I couldn’t help but draw parallels with crime rates in major metropolitan areas here in the United States, comparing the perceived risks on foreign soil to those within our borders.

The Bahamas: A Tale of Two Advisories

The Bahamas, with its azure waters and inviting beaches, has been a perennial favorite among travelers. In 2023, the U.S. State Department’s advisory for this Caribbean paradise was relatively benign, urging travelers to exercise normal precautions. Fast forward to the present, and the advisory has taken on a more cautionary tone.

The recent update highlights an increased risk of crime, particularly in certain urban areas and tourist-centric spots. It makes me wonder if the perceived risks in the Bahamas are comparable to crime rates in major U.S. cities.

Jamaica: Balancing Paradise with Precaution

Jamaica, known for its rhythmic beats and lush landscapes, also experienced a shift in the travel advisory landscape. In 2023, the advisory was standard, emphasizing general safety measures for travelers. The present advisory, while acknowledging the overall safety of popular tourist zones, cautions against specific regions with higher crime rates.

As I weigh the State Department’s concerns, I can’t help but consider how the crime rates in these highlighted areas compare to those in major metropolitan areas back home.

A Comparative Lens: Bahamas, Jamaica, and US Metropolitan Areas

I find an intriguing intersection with the travel advisories for the Caribbean nations. Cities like New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago grapple with varying crime rates, with some neighborhoods experiencing higher risks than others.

For example, the population of Jamaica is somewhere around 2.8 million people, comparable to the population of Chicago, Illinois, which is 2.7 million. A total of 617 homicides were recorded in Chicago throughout 2023 compared to 709 in 2022. Comparing  data from the Jamaica Constabulary Force, January 2024 compared to January 2023: homicides are down 19.8%, shootings are up 19%, sexual assaults are down 47.5%, and robberies have increased by 8%. Nonetheless, Jamaica still comes out higher at a total of 1,393, double that of Chicago.

Jamaica homicides to that of the United States.

In 2020 the total number of homicides in the US was 21,500, which brought the homicide rate to 6.5 per 100,000. The homicide rate in Jamaica in 2020 was 46.5. The most current stats have the US at 7.8% and Jamaica at 52.9%. In addition to this, there is a significant lack of medical services in Jamaica.

The population of the Bahamas in 2023 was just over 412,000 people, which, for comparison, is about the population of Minneapolis, MN, or Tulsa, OK. I must go back to 2021 data here, but in 2021, there were 128 recorded homicides in the Bahamas, compared to 96 in Minneapolis. In 2020, the homicide rate in the Bahamas was 17.96 (6.5 in the US). Current stats put the Bahamas at 29.17% to the US’s 7.8%.

So what does it all mean? These locations have always had a higher homicide rate than the United States. In 2017 the homicide rate in Jamaica was 55.7. In 2018, it was 47. Bahamas has ranged from 37% in 2015 to 29% in 2021. That’s what this all means. If you have ever traveled to the Caribbean before and haven’t checked the crime statistics, now isn’t the time to start getting concerned about it. Nothing has changed dramatically. I’m not condoning it. I’m not saying there isn’t an uptick, and that our government isn’t required to advise us of these incidents.

Bahamas is currently a Level 2 (Exercise Increased Caution). Do you know who else is a Level 2? France. For terrorism and civil unrest. You know who else? The United Kingdom.

Jamaica is currently a Level 3 (Reconsider Travel). This compares to Nigeria, Ethiopia, and Egypt.

The key takeaway? After gathering all this data and comparing it to areas of the United States, what have I deduced? Well, if I were going to the Bahamas, I would be proceeding with my travel plans and would exercise increased caution while there. If I had plans to go to Jamaica anytime soon, I would be reconsidering travel to that location.

Navigating Travel Responsibly

If you choose to proceed with travel plans to Jamaica during this  advisory, I would heed everything in the State Departments statement, especially the part about having travel insurance that includes medical evacuation coverage. Don’t go off on your own, don’t find yourself walking a road at night. And know where the US Embassy is, just in case. If it were me, after all of this data taking up my brain, I would be relocating or rescheduling my trip, unfortunately.

In conclusion, the recent travel advisories for the Bahamas and Jamaica remind us that responsible travel involves staying informed about potential risks and adapting our plans accordingly. As we explore the world, we must recognize that risk is an inherent aspect of any adventure. By comparing the advisories for tropical paradises with crime rates in major U.S. cities, we gain a broader perspective on the complex landscape of travel safety. Ultimately, whether we’re strolling through foreign streets or our hometown, navigating with awareness and responsibility ensures that our journeys remain both enriching and secure.

Be safe. Be well. And in the end, do what you feel is right.


Resources used for this blog:

Jamaica Constabulary Force

maps.google.com

Statistical Institute of Jamaica

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Homicide rate in Jamaica from 2014 to 2022

Homicide rate in the Bahamas from 2010 to 2021

travel.state.gov

Council on Criminal Justice

NBC Chicago – Chicago reports drops in murders and shootings..

The Royal Bahamas Police Force – Meet the Press 2023

AP News – Minneapolis nears record homicide count for 2021

By no means is this advice to you. This is only to communicate data so that you may make your own big adult decisions.

Check out what else is on the blog this week!